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IDC Cuts 2016 Outlook for Global Smartphone Shipments

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Clarence Cohen

Research firm International Data Corp. slashed its forecast for 2016 global smartphone shipments growth on weakened demand trends in mature markets and China, as well as its expectations that Apple Inc. s annual iPhone volume will drop for the first time.

IDC now expects global smartphone volume to increase 3.1% to 1.48 billion units this year, compared with its March projection for an increase of 5.7% to 1.5 billion units.

The forecast for 2016 iPhone shipments also weakened, with a decline of 2% projected, compared with IDC s March view for relatively flat iPhone volume.

The expected decline is a significant change from past years growth and marks a pivotal moment for the company, IDC said.

IDC added that it thinks iPhone shipments could return to growth in 2017, aided by Apple s early trade-in program as well as the lower cost iPhone SE.

The research firm also expects 2016 shipments to decline 6.4% in Japan and 6.9% in Canada.

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Clarence Cohen
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