logo
logo

The Moon landing is not a conspiracy theory – and this equation explains why

avatar
Keith Maldonado

p Did Nasa astronauts Neil Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin really walk on the moon in 1969, or was it part of an elaborate ruse directed by Stanley Kubrick?

Are aircraft leaving 'chemtrails' in the sky, chemical agents sprayed for mysterious and nefarious purposes?

Is there actually a cure for cancer, suppressed by pharmaceutical companies in order to protect valuable 'alternative' medicines?

Unfortunately for the more imaginative conspiracy theorists among us, the answer to all of these questions is likely to be a resounding no.

The equation, which has been published in Plos One, is made up of three factors: the number of conspirators involved, how much time has passed since the alleged conspiracy took place, and the "intrinsic probability of a conspiracy failing".

This intrinsic measure was estimated by looking at data from conspiracies that had later been revealed to be true – the PRISM surveillance program, which was revealed by Edward Snowden after several years, the Tuskegee syphilis scandal, which withheld the cure for syphilis from African-Americans and was revealed after 25 years, and an FBI scandal which led to the execution of innocent people, unveiled by a doctor after six years.

collect
0
avatar
Keith Maldonado
guide
Zupyak is a free content platform for publishing and discovering stories, software and startups.