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Jackie Brown 2021-07-09
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"Chase and Wells Fargo savings accounts are offering, no joke, 0.01% interest, while neobanks like Ally and Chime offer 0.5% - 50x the competition."
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Jackie Brown 2021-04-21
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Online office events are never going to be a blast. But Megan has a few ideas for how to make them suck less.
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Jackie Brown 2021-03-17
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Will Covid be back come winter?

Coronavirus cases are creeping down, and so too are hospitalisations and deaths. The nation is breathing a collective sigh of relief after what feels like the longest of winters.

At the time of writing, 24 million people in the UK have been vaccinated with their first dose of either the Oxford/AstraZeneca or Pfizer/BioNTech jabs, and lockdown measures are easing slowly, with children allowed to return to school.

People are hanging onto promises made by the government of a summer free of social distancing restrictions – and some kind of return to normality by June 21. But one question hangs in the back of our minds: will cases spike again this winter, marking a return to stricter lockdown measures? 

Some experts are cautiously optimistic, while others say there’s “no doubt” there will be a further wave of infections in autumn.

Professor Sir Ian Diamond, head of the Office for National Statistics (ONS), told The Andrew Marr Show in mid-March that people “need to recognise this is a virus that isn’t going to go away” and added: “I have no doubt that in the autumn there will be a further wave of infections.”

His comments came after England’s chief medical officer Professor Chris Whitty said there were still risks to reopening society. The UK will experience another surge of cases at some point, he said.

Different models suggest different outcomes come winter. The Imperial College models predict another wave before winter, says Professor Karl Friston, an Independent Sage panellist specialising in modelling, also of University College London (UCL), while modelling from Warwick University predicts there will be no summer resurgence and a reduced wave next winter.

Modelling from University College London (UCL) furnishes long-term forecasts that are more optimistic, he adds. Namely, a suppression of viral transmission into the winter.

I have no doubt that in the autumn there will be a further wave of infections.Professor Sir Ian Diamond, head of the Office for National Statistics (ONS)

Whether we’ll see another locked down winter – or a restriction-free one – will depend on many factors. One is the transmissibility of the virus and its variants. There are four variants of concern in the UK: the Brazil, South Africa, Kent and so-called Bristol variants. Some are thought to increase infectiousness and others don’t respond as well to the vaccines. 

Prof Friston says if the transmission risk during the summer is substantially lower than winter, we may attain “herd immunity”. With appropriate test, trace and isolate public health measures in place to suppress local outbreaks, it may be possible to avoid a resurgence in winter.

But if viral transmission remains high during the summer – and there’s a risk of this happening restrictions ending on June 21 – herd immunity would be more difficult to achieve “and a winter resurgence is almost inevitable,” he adds.

Other factors that would influence what winter looks like include how many people take up the vaccine, or develop natural immunity, and how effective the protection from these vaccines is in real life, says Dr Julian Tang, honorary associate professor and clinical virologist at the University of Leicester.

Children most likely won’t have had the vaccine by this point, which may impact transmission, he adds. And it’s worth noting he extent of travel come autumn, which may affect the import or export of virus variants in and out of the UK. 

“From a purely virological viewpoint, with more mixing in schools, workplaces, retail, hospitality, and leisure facilities as Covid-19 restrictions are relaxed over the summer, this will allow more mixing of any existing partial vaccine escape virus variants that are already here,” says Dr Tang.

This may lead to a reduced overall vaccine efficacy and an increase in Covid-19 cases scattered across various age groups, where the vaccine response may not be optimal or where vaccine uptake has been poor.

If the vaccine rollout goes to plan, the hope is that these numbers will be relatively small and manageable for the NHS, says Dr Tang. But it will depend on the degree of circulation of partial vaccine escape variants (virus variants that have a reduced efficacy to any vaccine). Vaccines minister Nadhim Zahawi said it’ll be likely we’ll need a booster vaccine come autumn to deal with variants.

Flu is another consideration. This year has seen very low numbers, which could mean we see a spike in winter. This, in combination with Covid cases, could be a problem. Professor Rowland Kao, an expert in epidemiology and data science at the University of Edinburgh, says both flu and Covid cases will have to be kept down next winter to stop the NHS from being impacted.

Ultimately, says Dr Tang, if the Covid-19 cases are low come winter, the UK government may not impose additional restrictions. But it’s likely we’ll still see people donning face masks in public, as well as hand sanitising stations. 

If cases are high, measures may be needed while vaccines are updated to deal with any increase in the number of circulating partial vaccine escape variants. How strict will these measures will be? Only time will tell. Boris Johnson has said he wanted England’s latest lockdown “to be the last”, which suggests he might be reluctant to tighten measures to that extent again.

The uncertainty around the impact of seasonal fluctuations should be resolved over the next few months, adds Prof Friston, enabling more precise long-term forecasts as winter approaches.

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Jackie Brown 2021-01-28
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The oversight board was created in October as an independent unit to review difficult content moderation decisions that Facebook carries out.
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Jackie Brown 2021-07-02
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The sprawling compound is a piece of the disgraced financier's massive real estate portfolio. His Manhattan townhouse recently sold for $51 million.
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Jackie Brown 2021-04-06
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Adults over 65 generally have weaker immune systems, and women mount a stronger immune response to the vaccine in general.
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Jackie Brown 2021-03-08
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Meghan Markle told Oprah Winfrey that she contemplated suicide at the height of her crisis in the monarchy.

The Duchess of Sussex revealed she considered taking her own life during her and Prince Harry’s interview with the veteran talk show host, which aired in the US on Sunday night.

“You were having suicidal thoughts?” Oprah asked during the two-hour interview.

“Yes. It was very clear and very scary,” Meghan said. “I just didn’t see a solution.”  

Meghan Markle

“Look, I was really ashamed to have to say it at the time and ashamed to have to admit it to Harry especially, because I know how much loss he’s suffered,” Meghan said. 

“But I knew that if I didn’t say that I would do it... and I just didn’t ― I just didn’t want to be alive anymore. And that was a very clear and real and frightening constant thought.”

“I remember how [Harry] just cradled me. I went to the institution. And I said that I needed to go somewhere to get help. And I said that I’d never felt this way before. I need to go somewhere. And I was told that I couldn’t, because it wouldn’t be good for the institution.” 

Meghan clarified that when she said “the institution,” she was referring to several people and that, when she was feeling suicidal, she went to one of the most senior people for help. 

“I share this because there’s so many people who are afraid to voice that they need help,” she said. “And I know personally how hard it is to not just voice it, but when you voice it to be told no. 

“And so I went to human resources. And I said ’I need help because at my old job there was a union and they would protect me.

“They said, ‘My heart goes out to you because I see how bad it is. But there’s nothing we can do to protect you because you’re not a paid employee.’”

CBS Presents Oprah with Meghan and Harry airs on ITV at 9pm tonight and on ITV Hub

Useful websites and helplines

Mind, open Monday to Friday, 9am-6pm on 0300 123 3393.

Samaritans offers a listening service which is open 24 hours a day, on 116 123 (UK and ROI - this number is FREE to call and will not appear on your phone bill).

CALM (the Campaign Against Living Miserably) offer a helpline open 5pm-midnight, 365 days a year, on 0800 58 58 58, and a webchat service.

The Mix is a free support service for people under 25. Call 0808 808 4994 or email [email protected]

Rethink Mental Illness offers practical help through its advice line which can be reached on 0808 801 0525 (Monday to Friday 10am-4pm). More info can be found on rethink.org.

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Jackie Brown 2021-01-24
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Serpentessa says no one has ever been bitten by her snakes, and her clients range from thrill-seekers and nature lovers to people suffering from PTSD.
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Jackie Brown 2021-06-05
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The Samsung Jet Bot 90 AI+ robot vacuum could prove a greater threat to the Ring and Arlo’s range of home security cameras. Here's what you can expect.
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Jackie Brown 2021-03-31
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Those top-rated Sony headphones have never been priced this low. Plus, save $47 on a smart humidifier.
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Jackie Brown 2021-02-21
img
The 36-day fight for Iwo Jima led Adm. Chester Nimitz to give the now-immortal praise, "Uncommon valor was a common virtue."
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Jackie Brown 2020-10-27
img
Here's everything you need to know about Cyberpunk 2077.
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Jackie Brown 2021-05-18
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The second covid wave and the various restrictions accompanying it are expected to weigh on demand, as rural areas, where Escort’s core customer base lies, are also getting impacted
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Jackie Brown 2021-03-24

Amy & Loren will be answering questions from Amy’s eSummit’s PPC Master Class, which can be viewed here : https://www.searchenginejournal.com/presentations/ Here is the entire transcript of the show (please excuse any transcription errors) : Loren Baker (00:09): Hi, everybody. This is Loren Baker, founder of Search Engine Journal. Today we have a special episode where we’re going to be talking about a lot of paid search or PPC. So with me today, I have Amy Bishop of Cultivative Marketing. Hi, Amy. How’s it going? Amy Bishop (00:23): Going well. How are you? Loren Baker (00:26): Great, thank you. Great. It’s […]

The post Ask a PPC Live with Amy Bishop [Podcast] appeared first on Search Engine Journal.

collect
0
Jackie Brown 2021-02-09
img
Crazy Rich Asians is the most-watched movie in February, and you can own it now for $10.
collect
0
Jackie Brown 2020-10-23
img
This week, for no legitimate reason, the internet decided to bring up the Hemsworth, Pratt, Evans, and Pine debate once again.
collect
0
Jackie Brown 2021-07-09
img
"Chase and Wells Fargo savings accounts are offering, no joke, 0.01% interest, while neobanks like Ally and Chime offer 0.5% - 50x the competition."
Jackie Brown 2021-06-05
img
The Samsung Jet Bot 90 AI+ robot vacuum could prove a greater threat to the Ring and Arlo’s range of home security cameras. Here's what you can expect.
Jackie Brown 2021-04-21
img
Online office events are never going to be a blast. But Megan has a few ideas for how to make them suck less.
Jackie Brown 2021-03-31
img
Those top-rated Sony headphones have never been priced this low. Plus, save $47 on a smart humidifier.
Jackie Brown 2021-03-17
img
Will Covid be back come winter?

Coronavirus cases are creeping down, and so too are hospitalisations and deaths. The nation is breathing a collective sigh of relief after what feels like the longest of winters.

At the time of writing, 24 million people in the UK have been vaccinated with their first dose of either the Oxford/AstraZeneca or Pfizer/BioNTech jabs, and lockdown measures are easing slowly, with children allowed to return to school.

People are hanging onto promises made by the government of a summer free of social distancing restrictions – and some kind of return to normality by June 21. But one question hangs in the back of our minds: will cases spike again this winter, marking a return to stricter lockdown measures? 

Some experts are cautiously optimistic, while others say there’s “no doubt” there will be a further wave of infections in autumn.

Professor Sir Ian Diamond, head of the Office for National Statistics (ONS), told The Andrew Marr Show in mid-March that people “need to recognise this is a virus that isn’t going to go away” and added: “I have no doubt that in the autumn there will be a further wave of infections.”

His comments came after England’s chief medical officer Professor Chris Whitty said there were still risks to reopening society. The UK will experience another surge of cases at some point, he said.

Different models suggest different outcomes come winter. The Imperial College models predict another wave before winter, says Professor Karl Friston, an Independent Sage panellist specialising in modelling, also of University College London (UCL), while modelling from Warwick University predicts there will be no summer resurgence and a reduced wave next winter.

Modelling from University College London (UCL) furnishes long-term forecasts that are more optimistic, he adds. Namely, a suppression of viral transmission into the winter.

I have no doubt that in the autumn there will be a further wave of infections.Professor Sir Ian Diamond, head of the Office for National Statistics (ONS)

Whether we’ll see another locked down winter – or a restriction-free one – will depend on many factors. One is the transmissibility of the virus and its variants. There are four variants of concern in the UK: the Brazil, South Africa, Kent and so-called Bristol variants. Some are thought to increase infectiousness and others don’t respond as well to the vaccines. 

Prof Friston says if the transmission risk during the summer is substantially lower than winter, we may attain “herd immunity”. With appropriate test, trace and isolate public health measures in place to suppress local outbreaks, it may be possible to avoid a resurgence in winter.

But if viral transmission remains high during the summer – and there’s a risk of this happening restrictions ending on June 21 – herd immunity would be more difficult to achieve “and a winter resurgence is almost inevitable,” he adds.

Other factors that would influence what winter looks like include how many people take up the vaccine, or develop natural immunity, and how effective the protection from these vaccines is in real life, says Dr Julian Tang, honorary associate professor and clinical virologist at the University of Leicester.

Children most likely won’t have had the vaccine by this point, which may impact transmission, he adds. And it’s worth noting he extent of travel come autumn, which may affect the import or export of virus variants in and out of the UK. 

“From a purely virological viewpoint, with more mixing in schools, workplaces, retail, hospitality, and leisure facilities as Covid-19 restrictions are relaxed over the summer, this will allow more mixing of any existing partial vaccine escape virus variants that are already here,” says Dr Tang.

This may lead to a reduced overall vaccine efficacy and an increase in Covid-19 cases scattered across various age groups, where the vaccine response may not be optimal or where vaccine uptake has been poor.

If the vaccine rollout goes to plan, the hope is that these numbers will be relatively small and manageable for the NHS, says Dr Tang. But it will depend on the degree of circulation of partial vaccine escape variants (virus variants that have a reduced efficacy to any vaccine). Vaccines minister Nadhim Zahawi said it’ll be likely we’ll need a booster vaccine come autumn to deal with variants.

Flu is another consideration. This year has seen very low numbers, which could mean we see a spike in winter. This, in combination with Covid cases, could be a problem. Professor Rowland Kao, an expert in epidemiology and data science at the University of Edinburgh, says both flu and Covid cases will have to be kept down next winter to stop the NHS from being impacted.

Ultimately, says Dr Tang, if the Covid-19 cases are low come winter, the UK government may not impose additional restrictions. But it’s likely we’ll still see people donning face masks in public, as well as hand sanitising stations. 

If cases are high, measures may be needed while vaccines are updated to deal with any increase in the number of circulating partial vaccine escape variants. How strict will these measures will be? Only time will tell. Boris Johnson has said he wanted England’s latest lockdown “to be the last”, which suggests he might be reluctant to tighten measures to that extent again.

The uncertainty around the impact of seasonal fluctuations should be resolved over the next few months, adds Prof Friston, enabling more precise long-term forecasts as winter approaches.

Jackie Brown 2021-02-21
img
The 36-day fight for Iwo Jima led Adm. Chester Nimitz to give the now-immortal praise, "Uncommon valor was a common virtue."
Jackie Brown 2021-01-28
img
The oversight board was created in October as an independent unit to review difficult content moderation decisions that Facebook carries out.
Jackie Brown 2020-10-27
img
Here's everything you need to know about Cyberpunk 2077.
Jackie Brown 2021-07-02
img
The sprawling compound is a piece of the disgraced financier's massive real estate portfolio. His Manhattan townhouse recently sold for $51 million.
Jackie Brown 2021-05-18
img
The second covid wave and the various restrictions accompanying it are expected to weigh on demand, as rural areas, where Escort’s core customer base lies, are also getting impacted
Jackie Brown 2021-04-06
img
Adults over 65 generally have weaker immune systems, and women mount a stronger immune response to the vaccine in general.
Jackie Brown 2021-03-24

Amy & Loren will be answering questions from Amy’s eSummit’s PPC Master Class, which can be viewed here : https://www.searchenginejournal.com/presentations/ Here is the entire transcript of the show (please excuse any transcription errors) : Loren Baker (00:09): Hi, everybody. This is Loren Baker, founder of Search Engine Journal. Today we have a special episode where we’re going to be talking about a lot of paid search or PPC. So with me today, I have Amy Bishop of Cultivative Marketing. Hi, Amy. How’s it going? Amy Bishop (00:23): Going well. How are you? Loren Baker (00:26): Great, thank you. Great. It’s […]

The post Ask a PPC Live with Amy Bishop [Podcast] appeared first on Search Engine Journal.

Jackie Brown 2021-03-08
img

Meghan Markle told Oprah Winfrey that she contemplated suicide at the height of her crisis in the monarchy.

The Duchess of Sussex revealed she considered taking her own life during her and Prince Harry’s interview with the veteran talk show host, which aired in the US on Sunday night.

“You were having suicidal thoughts?” Oprah asked during the two-hour interview.

“Yes. It was very clear and very scary,” Meghan said. “I just didn’t see a solution.”  

Meghan Markle

“Look, I was really ashamed to have to say it at the time and ashamed to have to admit it to Harry especially, because I know how much loss he’s suffered,” Meghan said. 

“But I knew that if I didn’t say that I would do it... and I just didn’t ― I just didn’t want to be alive anymore. And that was a very clear and real and frightening constant thought.”

“I remember how [Harry] just cradled me. I went to the institution. And I said that I needed to go somewhere to get help. And I said that I’d never felt this way before. I need to go somewhere. And I was told that I couldn’t, because it wouldn’t be good for the institution.” 

Meghan clarified that when she said “the institution,” she was referring to several people and that, when she was feeling suicidal, she went to one of the most senior people for help. 

“I share this because there’s so many people who are afraid to voice that they need help,” she said. “And I know personally how hard it is to not just voice it, but when you voice it to be told no. 

“And so I went to human resources. And I said ’I need help because at my old job there was a union and they would protect me.

“They said, ‘My heart goes out to you because I see how bad it is. But there’s nothing we can do to protect you because you’re not a paid employee.’”

CBS Presents Oprah with Meghan and Harry airs on ITV at 9pm tonight and on ITV Hub

Useful websites and helplines

Mind, open Monday to Friday, 9am-6pm on 0300 123 3393.

Samaritans offers a listening service which is open 24 hours a day, on 116 123 (UK and ROI - this number is FREE to call and will not appear on your phone bill).

CALM (the Campaign Against Living Miserably) offer a helpline open 5pm-midnight, 365 days a year, on 0800 58 58 58, and a webchat service.

The Mix is a free support service for people under 25. Call 0808 808 4994 or email [email protected]

Rethink Mental Illness offers practical help through its advice line which can be reached on 0808 801 0525 (Monday to Friday 10am-4pm). More info can be found on rethink.org.

Jackie Brown 2021-02-09
img
Crazy Rich Asians is the most-watched movie in February, and you can own it now for $10.
Jackie Brown 2021-01-24
img
Serpentessa says no one has ever been bitten by her snakes, and her clients range from thrill-seekers and nature lovers to people suffering from PTSD.
Jackie Brown 2020-10-23
img
This week, for no legitimate reason, the internet decided to bring up the Hemsworth, Pratt, Evans, and Pine debate once again.